Reasons supporting this projection:
+ The "silent majority", regardless if it benefits them or not, leans towards the status quo, especially when undecided and faced with similarly empowered choices.
+ While having lost some of his charisma among Americans, Obama still remains friendly and charming enough to appear as one of the people, unlike Romney, who seems detached not only from Americans, but often from the realities facing the nation.
+ Hurricane Sandy caused many to forget about Romney and the momentum he once possessed, and in times of peril, people again turn to the status quo for its comforting familiarity, regardless if that status quo actually lifts them out of their trials.
+ A decade of war has made Americans leery of aggressive politicians beating drums, and dovish Obama remains the clear antidote to America's war weariness, versus Romney, who seems aggressive and spoiling for a fight.
+ Four years to correct Bush's mistakes, and four years to strike out on his own, a philosophy many hold when evaluating Obama's first term.
Reasons refuting this projection:
- Many undecided states still lurk in the union, and Obama still needs to lock down approximately 69 more electoral votes to win.
- After decades of financial warfare against the United States (and much of the Western world), China almost begs for a
merciless beating, something Romney promises to deliver.
- Many Americans many no longer care about the President, the man, and see an idling economy and worsening conditions reason enough to vote for anyone other than Obama to shock the system back to life, regardless if such punishment-voting will work.
Of course, no one truly knows the outcome yet, and I can only offer an analysis based upon my observations. What do you guys think, who do you believe will win, and why?
